One day in the life of an Option Buyer.
It can be a killer.
Yesterday turned out to be absolute disaster. NIFTY moved up again. Surely and steadily it made the move to 10900 and almost got there.
Now NIFTY is up by 30 points from November Expiry and it has taken a topsy turvy 12 days to get here. Just 30 points gain in 12 days is no big deal but for the option buyers, these 12 days is the time which eats away the premiums. With less time at hand now, worries begin as to whether the trades would work out.
Not a happy position to be in. Yesterday most of the stocks either lost a little or gained a little ( except TATAMOTORS which was a big gainer) . Neither the TITAN CALL gained anything nor did any of the PUTS. The small declines did not add anything to the put prices. Reduced VIX may be the reason for it. Whatever be the cause, the effect is that we came into negative zone in a single day. Till yesterday, we had just given away our profits for the month, now we are looking at a real loss. We do not want to end the year on a losing note. To avoid that situation we are having 7 days of trading left in the month. We shall see how that works out.
This is how the picture looks now.
As we are already into 10 trades, adding more trades will increase the burden. If more trades are require, those shall be considered 3-4 days before expiry. Till then we shall trust these trades to work out.
We just observe the trend today and let the market do something for us. This has worked in the past and may work again.
Disclaimer: This post and examples are for teaching purpose only and are not meant as advice/suggestion to trade in these stocks. Trading in Futures and Options can lead to big losses and should be done with appropriate knowledge and advice only. Mentioning the stocks here does not imply that I have a trading position or likely to take a trade in these stocks.
Comments
Sandeep December 18, 2018 at 8:55 am
Hello Sir…
Looks like the days have arrived we have been waiting for…
Replyadmin December 18, 2018 at 9:04 am
There is many a slip between the cup and the lip.
Do not raise your hopes. Then there will not be any let down.
Cheers.
ReplySajeev December 18, 2018 at 10:36 am
Greetings,
This month would you consider closing out your positions by end of this week, especially because puts dominate, since historically the Christmas week has low institutional activity and because of this tends to be unnecessarily bullish (not backed by fundamentals) – the Santa Claus rally.
Hope you have a profitable close to the year and season’s greetings.
Replyadmin December 18, 2018 at 1:14 pm
Let us see. Yesterday some of the stocks fell a little while NIFTy was up. That gave some hope. Today we see NIFTy down but our put stocks are going up. Markets can be truly unpredictable. Another tough day.
Replydev December 18, 2018 at 1:08 pm
As calm as possible.
Replyadmin December 18, 2018 at 1:15 pm
Not easy to stay calm. But there is no other alternative.
ReplyDeepak December 18, 2018 at 2:34 pm
Dear Sir,
I want to know why IOC options are trading at discount. IOC stock is trading at 144/- but, 140 CE is trading at 1.40/-.
Thanks for your valuable guidance
ReplyBadrinath December 18, 2018 at 5:00 pm
i believe this is because of buyback and interim divident.
ReplyTarun December 18, 2018 at 5:45 pm
@Deepak: This is because of interim special dividend.
The stike price of the call and put will be adjusted and hence the anomaly. I had a similar issue with VEDL last expiry when it declared a special dividend.
You can read more about it here: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/sebi-reviews-mechanism-of-dividend-adjustment-for-stock-options/articleshow/64874474.cms
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