Welcome to Monday Morning.
Let us have a look at what the index did over the week.
An up move of 112 points in 5 trading days. One day of negative close on Monday was followed by a big gain of 147 points on Tuesday and small gains on the three following days.
We are trading stock options which perform differently from NIFTY at times.
We were at this position on Friday, January 11, 2019:
And we are at this position on Friday, January 18, 2019 :
The week has been very good for us. We now have booked profit in INFY CALL 700 and are in the trade with CALL 740. SUNPHARMA PUT 380 came into the money on Friday and touched a high of Rs. 24.00 before ending the day at Rs. 11.55. With controversy surrounding the stock, we may again see lower levels. TATASTEEL has given up some of the profit during the week but is still a profitable trade.
With 4 days of positive NIFTY close, it will not be out of place to expect a day or two of negative close. That should do the trick for us.
New Trades for the day :
EICHERMOT ( Eicher Motors Ltd) has lost 15.65% over last 30 days. It is slightly negative over last 7 days too. It had made a 52 week low at Rs. 19755 on January 09, 2019. This is less than 3% away from the Friday closing price.
PUT 20000 @ Rs. 320-340 can be rewarding if the sectoral weakness continues. Lot size is 25. Maximum risk is Rs. 8500.
Trade cautiously, trade profitably.
Disclaimer: This post and examples are for teaching purpose only and are not meant as advice/suggestion to trade in these stocks. Trading in Futures and Options can lead to big losses and should be done with appropriate knowledge and advice only. Mentioning the stocks here does not imply that I have a trading position or likely to take a trade in these stocks.
Comments
Girish January 21, 2019 at 8:47 am
Sir, how about coal India? This stock has been weak for a long time. 220 Put @ 0.45
ReplyDinesh January 21, 2019 at 12:23 pm
Hello Sir,
One doubt ,for PUT 20000 @ Rs. 320-340, how can we select the premium range for selected strike price.
ReplyThank you
admin January 21, 2019 at 3:38 pm
Premium is decided based on the last traded price on previous day close. Anticipating a slight up or down move we select a range which defines our likely loss. It is not a complicated process. a simple look at the price move gives an idea as to what price we should pay for an option.
Cheers.
Replyvishal agarwal January 21, 2019 at 1:10 pm
Sir since I already have ashokley maruti and m&m pe do you suggest adding more to auto sector by taking Eicher?
Replyadmin January 21, 2019 at 3:36 pm
Dear Vishal,
Every trade is a personal choice. I am happy for you that your ASHLEY and MARUTI trades came good today.
I am a;so happy that these trades did not gve immediate profit otherwise one would never learn the lesson of PATIENCE.
Cheers.
Replyvishal agarwal January 21, 2019 at 6:22 pm
Thank you, Sir. I agree with you that instances like these are learnings given by Market. Sometimes Market gives a jitter by making the options go to zero so that we are not complacent and keeps our overconfidence in check. When we are disappointed it comes to boost our confidence in the form of Sunpharma which unexpectedly rose from 50 Paise to 26. This teaches me a lesson – options should be treated as lotteries – either hero or zero. Only differentiating factor is that we have a time tested selection procedure in place that guides us which “Lottery” to bet on.
ReplyI am still holding on to all my trades patiently except Sunpharma which I exited on Friday but re-entered at my original buy price today.
MR January 21, 2019 at 4:00 pm
Sir your method giving benefits.. whoever has patience can make .
ReplySENTHILNATHAN S January 21, 2019 at 8:52 pm
Presently I am out of station and will be returning back only by 2nd week of February.
ReplyStill, today I managed to handle some trades.
Bought EICHERMOT 20000 PE at 328
Sold ASHOKLEY 95 PE at 4.95 ( bought at 2.50) and
Bought ASHOKLEY 92.50 PE at 2.30
First I bought the lower strike put and waited for my price to sell the higher prices put. Market was kind enough to allow me to do this.. Not before testing my patience, discipline and conviction.
As I about of station, I could not post all my trades..
Already I moved from 700 call to 740 call in INFY
APOLLOTYRE 220 PE bought earlier at 3.45 was sold today at 6.30
Will look to enter 210 PE tomorrow, if possible.
admin January 21, 2019 at 9:00 pm
Very good trades. Congratulations.
Reply