Tuesday, June 04, 2018.
Another volatile day. Ended lower by 35 points. NIFTY is now at 10593.15.
Let us review our trades.
First the wrong ones.
Worst of the lot happened to be KPIT which we entered only a day ago. PUT 320 has already lost more than 60% value.
VEDL ( VEDANTA) stock ended lower for the day but the PUT 230 lost some value. This happens sometime. We just live with it and hope that volatility in VEDL options increases and consequently premium becomes better. And the price should move lower. Asking for too much– what is the harm?
SBIN was flat and lost a little bit. So was PNB and gained a little.
INDUSINDBK and M&M our choices for buying CALLS again had a bad day and caused some additional loss.
Now the good news:
BHEL is rocking as one of the readers has put in the COMMENTS. Yesterday I had wondered if and when it will make a new 52 week low. It did not disappoint us and obliged today. PUT 75 traded at a high of Rs. 4.60 today before finally settling at Rs. 3.90. Will the downward momentum continue? Will it go below Rs. 70?
I do not know and nobody else does. Otherwise they would have recommended SELL at Rs. 83 when I suggested PUT 75.
We can move out of PUT 75 and BUY PUT 70 instead. This way, part of the profit gets booked and we stay in the trade in case down trend continues.
RELCAPITAL : Stock Price moved down purposefully today and the low of the day was Rs. 381.45. It settled at Rs. 387. PUT 400 had touched a high of Rs. 29.50 before ending up at Rs. 23.10. Far better status than yesterday. I do not know where the stock will go from here, but I am surely looking for a move towards the low of s. 363.90 made on May 16, 2018. Wishful thinking?
Let market do something for poor Option Buyers too once in a while.
BHARTIAIRTEL : This stock made me happy as well as unhappy. It moved to the low point of the day at Rs. 357.55. From there, the previous 52 week low of Rs. 351.60 was just at handshaking distance. It reversed from the low. Stayed at 361 level for more than one hour and in the last hour moved up to Rs. 364. Still, considerably lower than yesterday and we do not and can not argue with what the market does.
Naturally, PUT 360 did well.
These 3 Options helped us in staying afloat profitably.
Here is the result:
With just 3 trading days gone so far, the result is quite satisfactory.
New Additions :
I have once again looked at the F&O stocks, their movements and trends. volatility etc. There are quite a few trades which could be initiated but we are already n 9 trades and every trade costs money.
And as I like to say, these trades have as much of a chance of making money as any other new trade would have.
For another day, let us stay with these nine.
I would request the readers to please share the posts with fellow traders ( Tough task, most of the traders are lonely people, they do not share the trades even with their spouses) and write about your own selections in the COMMENTS section.
Disclaimer: This post and examples are for teaching purpose only and are not meant as advice/suggestion to trade in these stocks. Trading in Futures and Options can lead to big losses and should be done with appropriate knowledge and advice only. Mentioning the stocks here does not imply that I have a trading position or likely to take a trade in these stocks.
Comments
Prince Nahata June 6, 2018 at 9:14 am
I eagerly await your blog everyday as reading it gives me the feeling that we have some Guardian/father figure to help us in our trades.
ReplySir please never stop guiding us.
Thanks
admin June 6, 2018 at 3:58 pm
Thanks Prince.
I try to be of help. At times market does what I expect, at other times it does the reverse. I hope to get your continued support even in those times when we go wrong.
Cheers.
ReplyShankar June 6, 2018 at 6:24 pm
I doo feel the same.
Replyshankar June 6, 2018 at 10:15 am
Helo sir ,
Replyi hav tata motors 280 pe at 10.
Not moving as expected.
admin June 6, 2018 at 3:56 pm
Well, sometimes things go wrong. In case of Tata Motors it happened today. Just keep patience for few days.
ReplyShankar June 6, 2018 at 6:23 pm
Thnks fr the reply sir. Wil hold and wait fr reversal in price.
ReplyNilesh June 6, 2018 at 11:04 am
Hello Sir,
We can go for Titan 860 PE which is trading around 18 today. Stock has shown weakness over a month and recent two weeks data. Also more than 100 contracts are traded. Please advise.
Replyadmin June 6, 2018 at 3:55 pm
With all the theories things can suddenly go wrong. And they did today. Have patience.
I had seen my HINDPETRO PUT bought at 7.20 go to Rs. 1.20 and finally I could sell it for Rs. 30.
In last Expiry M&M 900 Call had gone down to Rs. 2.00 and on Expiry day it was above Rs. 22.
Anything can happen in Option Trades.
Cheers.
ReplyManpreet June 6, 2018 at 11:23 am
Sir my selection Titan 840 PE, Coal India 305 CE, and Mothersonsumi 290 PE based on the approach you suggest.
ReplyYour feedback on the above.
admin June 6, 2018 at 3:52 pm
Dear Manpreet,
Replied to a different comment.
Cheers.
ReplyManpreet June 6, 2018 at 2:30 pm
Sir..have choosen the below based on your approach.
Titan 840 PE
Coal India 305 CE
Motherson Sumi 290 PE
Your feedback on the above picks
Replyadmin June 6, 2018 at 3:42 pm
Today RBI monetary policy first spooked the market and then people decided to just BUY everything. TITAN went up by more than 4%. Coal India fits the bill for the call but I do not see it moving in a volatile manner. MOTHERSONSUMI looks like a good option.
Of course, market has to do some course correction over next two days for PUTs to be useful.
All the best. Cheers.
Replykuldeep June 6, 2018 at 4:43 pm
Hello sir
ReplyFuture series June2018…
Buy side…. Godrej consumer,Kotak bank,Marico,Coal India,Britannia
Sell side…… Bel,TVS,Balkrishna indusries,Tata power ,Dalmia bharat
Regards
admin June 6, 2018 at 8:15 pm
Dear Kuldeep,
All the best for your trades.
Cheers.
ReplyRajbir June 6, 2018 at 5:59 pm
Sir, looking at today market move and move of our selection, where almost all selections moved against our perception, in such cases wait and watch should be the strategy? Have you changed any positions today?
Regards,
ReplyRajbir
admin June 6, 2018 at 8:14 pm
Dear Rajbir,
When things went in favor, it was not due to any special effort on our part. It was due to market. Again what happened today is due to what the market did.
But the moves today were strange to say the least. As soon as the RBI committee announced 25 bps increase in interest rates, NIFTY started coming down and was just 24 points high. Then in a period of 10 minutes, it was up by 100 points. A real knee jerk reaction on either side.
Trouble for Option Buyer is that each day takes away some premium and today took away lot of volatility also.
We live to fight another day.
Thanks for writing.
Reply