Another day of NIFTY moving up.
Again like on Wednesday, such a big move did nothing for our 3 CALLS.
Really bad but just can not do anything about it.
The 6 PUTS were not supposed to do well in such a situation. So it was a double whammy.
Again the day was about BANKNIFTY.
It moved up and up till it finally relented and gave up all the gains of today. We hope it continues the down momentum tomorrow. Specially in PNB and SBIN and not in SBIN.
This was BANKNIFTY for the day:
But it did little for INDUSINDBK which performed very poorly.
Fell from the highs to end lower. The likes of PNB did not follow that pattern.
We live to fight another day.
SBIN ended lower than yesterday. VEDL went away from us and then came back.
So did BHARTIAIRTEL.
These moves give hope that our trades will work out, occasional bad days notwithstanding. The inherent volatility will ultimately make the Options either go entirely worthless or make few of them come into the money very nicely.
We look for the coming In The Money part.
For the record here is the not so flattering position at the end of day on June 07:
A far cry from the positive image of just two days ago.
That is Options for us. Fortune turns like a wheel. It is time it turned for us.
With SGX NIFTY down, we may see NIFTY also somewhat negative for the day. The day may turn out better than yesterday.
New Trade : It is not easy to think of and suggest a new trade when the performance chart looks as above. But life goes on.
On May 31, 2018 ( May Expiry ), NIFTY closed at 10736.15.
June 07 close is 10768.35.
Slightly up by 32 points.
NIFTY BANK futures for June Expiry quoted at 26726.90 on May 31 close.
With all the momentum after the RBI monetary policy NIFTY BANK futures for June Expiry closed at 26567.35 on June 07.
While NIFTY has moved up slightly , Bank Nifty could not stay up with all the backing by the Index Management over last 2 days.
Based on this observation, my belief is that Bank Nifty is headed for a down move.
I expect it move down considerably over the remaining trading days in this Expiry Month.
I would go for PUT 26000 for June 28 Expiry ( I do not trade weekly options in Bank Nifty) at price between 160-170.
This becomes our trade number 10.
Disclaimer: This post and examples are for teaching purpose only and are not meant as advice/suggestion to trade in these stocks. Trading in Futures and Options can lead to big losses and should be done with appropriate knowledge and advice only. Mentioning the stocks here does not imply that I have a trading position or likely to take a trade in these stocks.
Comments
Satish Kumar June 8, 2018 at 10:54 am
Thanks Sir for the updates. Bank Nifty is very high volatile. Less lot size and momentum gainer result in quick gain and also less premium for OTM and less loss. Really for past few weeks, it make big roller coaster. Just to catch the momentum, get in while going up-side. Book profit at the peak of the day. Buy at the dips again. Both Call and Put is profitable in such high volatile market, if one catch the right direction momentum train. And of course, comparison with Nifty help a lot in understanding the Bank Nifty momentum.
ReplyI really dont know, if the momentum strategy is the correct strategy ?
Manoj June 8, 2018 at 11:12 am
Dear sir , can you put some light on pfc 80 call
Replykushal mehta June 8, 2018 at 12:33 pm
very nice sir ..Love to read it everyday
ReplyJayesh June 8, 2018 at 7:09 pm
Sir. since you are good in finding and trading weak stock, how much in percentage you profited from overall monthly trade during crash or serious correction period.
ReplyKuldeep June 8, 2018 at 9:12 pm
SBI had turned bullish…it is trading in a higher-top-higher-bottom chart structure and has taken support along the rising trend line.
It has also managed to give a close above its 200 day EMA.
The stock has witnessed positive momentum on the weekly MACD histogram.
ReplySantosh June 9, 2018 at 1:38 pm
Do you see PNB reversing the uptrend?
ReplyThe charts look overall in downtrend.
However there is higher high in the intermediate. What should be the underlying price to initiate sl?
Premchand June 10, 2018 at 12:38 am
Hello sir,
ReplyI have been following you on Quora from quite some time, very much excited knowing about your answers and thoughts through this blog, I am planning to start options trading from next months onwards, hoping for the best.
Rajbir June 11, 2018 at 12:11 pm
Hi Sir, looking forward to your blog to draw some confidence out of your words, I have all open positions as discussed in the blog.
Regards,
ReplyRajbir
Vijay June 11, 2018 at 6:43 pm
Hello Sir,
What will be your strategy on these trades ? Do you exit some trades, as loss is mounting on North
Replydirection, or be with all the trades.