The results for the stock selections in March and April series have been real good.
It did not go smoothly all the time. In April, things went wrong considerably before they ended alright. Most of the traders would not have the conviction of staying with the trades. Only those who go through the pain find the pleasure at the end,
The purpose of these postings was only to demonstrate that Picking Stocks For Trading was not rocket science. There is no need for following any expert and paying for the selections. We can do it ourselves and be profitable.
It has now been demonstrated two months in a row and we expect the trend to continue in future as well.
Trading Through Options :
The profits shown in the previous posts would not have come without a big amount as Margin Money requirement. Most of the trades do not have that kind of budget. They look for similar profits with much less capital. Many have asked the question whether we can trade these selections through OPTIONS.
There is no doubt that we can trade these by buying Options.
But there is every doubt that whether it would make money.
We all know that passage of time kills the Option Premium.
Price going against you is also a distinct probability which will ultimately eat away the value.
For making money through Options ( Buying ) we need the following conditions to be met:
(1) Price should move in our direction.
(2) This move should happen quickly
We are not asking much. Is it?
Well sometime it happens and many times it does not.
When it happens, we make money and at other times money is lost.
The key is to make money when we are right.
May Option Series:
This month, this series is about trading through Options.
It will not be easy and straightforward like in previous months.
There will be reduction in the Option Prices, we shall be facing good amount of losses before we see any profit. Only good point is that capital required for trading would be much less.
The problems faced will be discussed in the daily postings with their likely solutions. In the end we may come out successful or not would depend on the markets. We either make money or there is always a next month and new trades.
May Selections :
Our selections for May Expiry are already made.
Here is how I would trade them through Options:
HINDUNILVER 1520 CALL BUY Rs. 17.00 Lot Size 600 Rs. 10200
M&M 900 CALL BUY Rs. 9.50 Lot Size 1000 Rs. 9500
BHEL 80 PUT BUY Rs. 0.85 Lot Size 7500 Rs. 6350
SBIN 230 PUT BUY Rs. 4.00 Lot Size 3000 Rs. 12000
HINDPETRO 290 PUT BUY Rs. 5.80 Lot Size 1575 Rs. 9135
TATAMOTORS 320 PUT BUY Rs. 6.00 Lot Size 1500 Rs. 9000.
The 6 trades would need Rs. 56185 as premium money to be paid.
This amount is less than the Margin Money required for 1 Futures Trade and allows us to trade 6 Lots in Options.
Worst Case Scenario:
We can kiss good bye to Rs. 56185 along with the expenses for the trades.
Now this is the maximum possible loss.
In April series, we were looking at far bigger losses for many days before it finally became profitable.
Those who are not comfortable with the thought of losing Rs. 56185 should not venture into this.
Best Case Scenario:
We do not know.
If the price move happens at right time in the right direction, very good money can be made. Even 1 right trade can make money sufficient enough to cover the other losses.
Few days back, I had suggested some Option Trades in the Expiry Week.
Out of 5 , 2 were right.
In case of VEDL, Rs. 1.75 became Rs. 10.00 and in case of SBIN, Rs. 1.65 became Rs. 6.50.
While the other three trades became worthless, these two counted for the overall profitability.
So we have to stay with the trades which have gone right.
It is not going to be an easy journey. But we have started and let us see where does it take us.
Disclaimer: This post and examples are for teaching purpose only and are not meant as advice/suggestion to trade in these stocks. Trading in Futures and Options can lead to big losses and should be done with appropriate knowledge and advice only. Mentioning the stocks here does not imply that I have a trading position or likely to take a trade in these stocks.
vijaya April 29, 2018 at 2:31 pm
Wonderful sir, it is really really very interesting learning from you. You cover the subject so much in detail and make it very interesting and easy enough even for a lay man like me to understand.Thank you for the time and effort you are putting in sir. Feeling very blessed .Reply
Madan Mohan April 29, 2018 at 3:41 pm
I included Rel Ind 1020 Call Buy at 23, in view of it uptreand,Reply
Ankit Bhatti April 30, 2018 at 10:21 am
Sir, Bhel put has single digit volume. How will we manage our trades in such low volume.Reply
admin May 5, 2018 at 8:47 pm
Most times i do not suggest or enter trades which have low volumes. With price near Rs. 88-89, people do not anticipate the price to come below 80 and the volumes are low. However, the Bid Offer Spread is Rs. 0.05 which can not be less even if the volumes become 100 times more. We need to manage the trade when it becomes profitable while coming nearer to the Strike Price. Volumes will surely pick up at that time. First it has to prove right. Already it has moved from those levels to around Rs. 84.Reply
We may expect better volumes if it moves further towards 80.