We are back to the market after a long weekend.
Tomorrow is another trading holiday. So today’s session may not see much of a move in either direction. But then we can be wrong all the time.
Market closed 112 points higher on Friday. Once again the all time high level is in sight and may be topped sooner than later.
Talking about NIFTY is fun. At the most we can be wrong. But no money is made by talks. We have to keep looking for trading opportunities and then put money on our selections.
Let us do what we have been doing for last one year.
In the last 30 day period NIFTY was up 2.71 %.
Stocks which top the list of losers in this period are– INFRATEL, YESBANK , INDUSINDBK, POWRGRID, BRITANNIA etc.
We had a CALL in INDUSINDBK and PUT in BRITANNIA last month and both of them had gone worthless.
Let us have a look at YESBANK.
Quarterly results are very poor. That may impact the price today on the negative side. We look at the status over last 7 days and find that the 30 day trend is not supported.
We do not take a trade today. It looks like missing an opportunity but we are okay with it.
BRITANNIA does not meet the Volume requirement. We give it a miss.
EICHERMOT fits the 30 day and 7 day criteria. IV ( Implied Volatility ) around 30 is okay. Volumes are again low.
We give a miss to this trade too.
Down over 30 days and 7 days. IV around 40 and decent option volumes.
This trade meets all the requirements.
PUT 160 @ Rs. 3.60-4.00 can turn out to be a good trade.
Lot Size 2300 Maximum Risk Rs. 9200.
In September 2018, a trade in this stock had given a profit of more than Rs. 100000.
It meets the 30 day , 7 day and volatility criteria. Volume for PUT 125 is low but is nearly acceptable for PUT 130.
PUT 130 @ Rs. 2.60-3.00 is a trade.
Lot Size 4500 Max Risk — Rs. 13500.
Trade cautiously, trade profitably.
Disclaimer: This post and examples are for teaching purpose only and are not meant as advice/suggestion to trade in these stocks. Trading in Futures and Options can lead to big losses and should be done with appropriate knowledge and advice only. Mentioning the stocks here does not imply that I have a trading position or likely to take a trade in these stocks.
Senthilnathan April 30, 2019 at 10:30 am
Both VEDL & L&TFH proved to be excellent picks but we could not enter the trades, as the movement commenced as soon as the market opened.Reply
May being the longest month, hope we could get better opportunities to enter trades.
Tharik April 30, 2019 at 10:38 am
Not able to take both trades. Infact I am quite tempted to take a trade today but staying sidelinesReply
VISHNU PRASAD MANEENDRA April 30, 2019 at 12:20 pm
Can you please elaborate why we missed yesbank today, i agree that it may not be good for one month period but we could have gained some profits for today & get out from this option as we tired of losses from past 3 months. Please don’t mistaken me i have belief in this site, just i want to know what consequences let you to take this decision even though you rightly anticipated today’s move.
admin April 30, 2019 at 2:25 pm
I have already explained. It did not fit the criteria. We knew it will be very volatile.Entry price becomes an issue. The stock was down 25% in first 5 minutes of trade. One can not get in the trade. After that it is a 3-4% move for the rest of the day.
It looks easy in hindsight, trading such moves is not easy.
Krishna April 30, 2019 at 7:51 pm
The only people who would have made money who had bought put on Friday – who ever is buying after put 30% would be lucky to make money.Reply
Sir, Yes bank is no pc jewellers / vakrangee / manpasand variety stock neither like Global trust bank.
Anonymous April 30, 2019 at 8:36 pm
Sir, could you explain about the article in money control.. NSE is barred from trading.Reply