Back to work after a holiday.
On Monday, NIFTY had closed higher by 77 points after negating the down move of about 100 points. Whether it builds on that momentum or gives up the steam is to be seen today. Whatever happens is likely to happen with lot of volatility.
We could not get into M&M trade on Monday.
For the present, we are having two trades— HINDPETRO 240 PUT and ZEEL 420 PUT.
It is time to look for few more trades.
The main problem is high volatility and very high option prices. Some of the stocks have already tanked so much that to expect further decline looks foolish, but they keep going down. Sitting it out for a few days may be better but that would be so unlike a trader.
So difficult choices have to be made.
TATASTEEL is one stock which is currently week.
On Monday, when NIFTY made a smart recovery, this stock went up by just 0.13%. That suggests weakness.
Current price is Rs. 583. I would go for PUT 540 for Rs. 9-10 range.
Whenever I run out of ideas for a trade, there is an IDEA.
The stock is apparently forever weak. Last year in September I had shorted it at Rs. 87.35 and bought back at Rs. 75.65.
Now it trades at Rs. 38.75. NIFTY has gone up in this period while IDEA has lost more than 50% value.
PUT 37.5 was traded at Rs. 1.90 on Monday close. A price of Rs. 1.70-2.00 would be okay.
TATASTEEL and IDEA are my two trades for the day.
Let us see what the day holds for us.
Disclaimer: This post and examples are for teaching purpose only and are not meant as advice/suggestion to trade in these stocks. Trading in Futures and Options can lead to big losses and should be done with appropriate knowledge and advice only. Mentioning the stocks here does not imply that I have a trading position or likely to take a trade in these stocks.
Comments
Nathan October 3, 2018 at 9:50 am
Good morning to all.
ReplyGot TATASTEEL 540 PE at Rs. 8.60
Placed order for IDEA 37.50 PE at 1.75 and waiting.
Prudent_trader October 3, 2018 at 10:38 am
Metal stocks might outperform in this series,and tatasteel charts are not showing any meaningful weakness. Going long might help, myself bought tatasteel 620ce at 8.65 for a target of 23.
Replydev October 3, 2018 at 10:59 am
what has been going on in Hindpetro sir !! test of patience?
ReplyAnkit October 3, 2018 at 11:32 am
Sir, I have brought Canfinhome 220 pe at 3.00 based on methodology taught by you. Request you to have a look at the stock.
ReplyAzar October 3, 2018 at 5:42 pm
Hi Ankit,
ReplyCanfinhome is under Physical delivery settlement.Be sure to close the trade before expiry
Ankit October 3, 2018 at 8:50 pm
Thanks for the info Azar. Will keep that in mind. 🙂
Replydev October 3, 2018 at 1:06 pm
hindpetro behaving like shit
Replyjay October 3, 2018 at 1:41 pm
hindpetro ruined the party 🙁
ReplyMR October 3, 2018 at 4:22 pm
Got tata steel 540 put at 8.3.
ReplyVikas Gupta October 3, 2018 at 7:21 pm
Shall we refrain ourself for taking any new trade owing to very high volatility? If market stables in coming days, volatility will reduce, so does our premium. I also feel market may have corrected enough and is ready to take the journey upwards. However, that purely depends on how INRvs$ react and crude oil behavior. If the market starts moving we can buy some CE or short PE.
ReplyAny thoughts on this, Sir?
Thanks
Krishna October 3, 2018 at 8:22 pm
Have bought Zee put 420 @ 8.15 & Tata steel 540 @ 9.00 , could not enter Idea.
ReplyDinesh October 3, 2018 at 10:42 pm
Dear Pramod Sir,
“The main problem is high volatility and very high option prices”, how does we judge the option premium is high to enter in to a trade across our list of stocks where the lot sizes and premiums of stocks vary from one another…just wanted to clear my basics while following your logic.
ReplyRavi kumar October 3, 2018 at 10:53 pm
Tata steel took at 10.2 as I logged in late.. IDEA went for 35 @ 1.4 as felt 37.5 @ 2 was more investment for a single trade ( Rs 14k)
Reply