Life in the market can be very difficult. It is always a judgement call. When that judgement turns out wrong we suffer. The suffering becomes worse when we continue to be wrong continuously for few days.
NIFTY has gone up over last three days. Just when we were entertaining the thoughts about a mild reversal , the US markets went up by more than 2% on Tuesday. Our market is likely to follow the trend.
Euphoria for some and despair for others. We are in the despair category this time. Unfortunately both these feelings do not visit in equal proportion. Despair is a permanent settler whereas euphoria is a fleeting visitor. One has to learn to deal with both with equanimity.
This is what the SGX NIFTY looks like as I write. Not good for our trades but we have to go through the day. It is not going to be a pleasant experience but we have benefited from the benevolence of the markets big way in the last month. Now is the time to get a reality check.
Regular readers of these pages know that we have had similar experiences in the past with different results.
In June, it was despair for 18 trading days and we had just two days of sunshine on Day 19 and 20 which made the month profitable.
July was almost similar to the present situation. We were sitting on a profit of Rs. 122000 in first few days of trading and then gradually gave up most of the profit to end the month with a gain of Rs. 42000.
August is too recent. Nothing went right and we lost Rs. 100000.
Any of the above outcomes can happen this time and we shall try to avoid a repeat of August .
No new trades today.
Our day in the sun is not likely today. We shall wait for a new tomorrow .
Disclaimer: This post and examples are for teaching purpose only and are not meant as advice/suggestion to trade in these stocks. Trading in Futures and Options can lead to big losses and should be done with appropriate knowledge and advice only. Mentioning the stocks here does not imply that I have a trading position or likely to take a trade in these stocks.
Comments
Ravi kumar October 17, 2018 at 9:58 am
In my limited experience, i feel US markets are even more fickler than our very own. After a day US mkt went down nearly 3% , it rebounded the next day. These kind of big falls usually see a follow-up drops of a lesser degree in other markets like Nifty..
ReplyUS news channels have bigger bullshitting to do than our guys when such moves and reversals happen 🙂
Mk October 17, 2018 at 11:47 am
Looks like our day in the sun is happening today on wards..sir
ReplyTharik October 17, 2018 at 9:36 pm
Let me throw you an example. A real one which I had experienced last month. Took TATAMOTORS 250 PE @4.5.. In two days the stock gained huge and my PUT was trading at 1.5Rs , which tempted me to get out of the losing trade
Guess what happened after that. The stock plunged to around 220 levels and the 240 PUT ended at 25Rs. It made me realize the costly mistake I did. Hope everyone who traded with options had the same experience many times. Have patience. Markets will decide whether we are winner or loser.
ReplyAkshay Sharma October 17, 2018 at 12:59 pm
IMHO waiting for any negative news which will turn the tide in favour of bears is just wishful thinking. I agree that we need to ride the profits to maximize the gains but at the same time we should better manage our trades by cutting losing trades on time. Thoughts??
ReplyOjas October 17, 2018 at 2:43 pm
Thats but obvious. Each one of us needs a strict SL in place ELSE we need to follow Sir blindly which can get on our nerves as he has that experience and patience in trading which most of us yet have to get.
Replyadmin October 17, 2018 at 5:12 pm
Cutting losing trades in time?
ReplyCan anyone really judge that time?
Staying in the trade can be rewarding even on the expiry day. Getting out will only reduce some loss which most traders will anyway again have on next day.
Cheers.
Tharik October 17, 2018 at 1:26 pm
Looks like it’s time for us again to go with our last month hero L&TFH.. Got into 125 PE @2.5 (costly)
ReplySo far so good
dev October 17, 2018 at 3:13 pm
I am loving the market ,it is showing the real face of everybody everyday (from tv to telegram channels)
Replyadmin October 17, 2018 at 5:09 pm
It shows the same mirror to us also every day. We have to live with the realities of market.
ReplyCheers.
Sankha October 17, 2018 at 4:39 pm
Nifty took resistance around 200 DMA and then bears took control.
Replyadmin October 17, 2018 at 5:08 pm
Let us not try to explain the market behavior. It is an exercise in futility. Leave it to the people on TV. They have to find explanations every day only to be proved next day.
ReplyCheers.
Nikunj October 18, 2018 at 12:16 am
Price was god in past for trader. Price is god at present for trader.
ReplyPrice will be god in future for trader.
Sankha October 18, 2018 at 10:43 am
DLF is weak,made new low yesterday.Good candidate for put buying
ReplyPrince Nahata October 18, 2018 at 2:32 pm
Happy Dussehra to Pramod Sir & all fellow traders & readers of this blog.May our good side triumphs over our evil side.
Reply