We are now left with 2 days to the June Contracts Expiry.
This is where the fun begins.
Time premium is lost fast. But if the price move happens rightly rewards are too good.
There is no harm in trying few options. Even if one or two of these succeed our job is done.
Here is my list of Expiry Day trades:
(1) Reliance Capital : The trade has not worked out in our regular selections. But it can go below Rs. 400 level in no time if the market decides to move down. We have two days for this move to happen. I have seen this stock move 5-6% in a day many times and even 15% once or twice. Let us hope we get that kind of day.
PUT 400 is around Rs. 1.10-1.15. Any price between Rs. 1.00-1.40 is fine.
The loss is limited to around Rs. 1000 in case the stock runs away from us.
(2) Hindustan Petroleum: In last two months it had shown very good volatility. Now is the time for action. PUT 290 should be available in the range Rs. 2.00-2.50.
Lot Size is 1575. So the risk is around Rs. 3150-3940.
(3) Idea Cellular : One day down , another day up. We were in PUT 60 earlier. I had suggested booking profit in that and get into PUT 55. The stock started moving up after touching Rs. 55.20 today and closed the day at Rs. 57.95.
We take a chance that it will restore the down move which began on Monday, June 25 and once again reach 55.20 and go below that.
PUT 57.50 at Rs. 0.50-0.55 is my choice.
This is another Rs. 3500 , Lot Size being 7000.
To balance the three selections, I will go for 2 Lots in Reliance Capital and one lot each in the other two.
Total outlay becomes around 2000 + 3500 + 3500 = Rs. 9000.
This is a sample advice as to how the Option Trades should be approached closer to the Expiry.
Go for low premiums and highly volatile stocks.
Right price move will give very good rewards. In case things go wrong, we know that the maximum loss is Rs. 9000.
In April Expiry, this was the result of our Expiry Day Trades:
Few days back, I had suggested some Option Trades in the Expiry Week.
Out of 5 , 2 were right.
In case of VEDL, Rs. 1.75 became Rs. 10.00 and in case of SBIN, Rs. 1.65 became Rs. 6.50.
While the other three trades became worthless, these two counted for the overall profitability.
That was in April.
https://optionsnext.com/blog/expiry-week-trading-options-trading-day-04/
Let us hope something similar happens this time too.
Disclaimer: This post and examples are for teaching purpose only and are not meant as advice/suggestion to trade in these stocks. Trading in Futures and Options can lead to big losses and should be done with appropriate knowledge and advice only. Mentioning the stocks here does not imply that I have a trading position or likely to take a trade in these stocks.
Comments
Prince Nahata June 27, 2018 at 11:27 am
Sir as if these stocks were ready to tumble but just waiting for your sell call.
Replyadmin June 27, 2018 at 3:40 pm
Well, it happened just in time.
Thanks for reading and the comments.
ReplyGokul June 27, 2018 at 12:44 pm
hi Sir,
Looks like all three options are doing good !! Thank you 🙂
Replyadmin June 27, 2018 at 3:38 pm
Some day we are right and that day should be cashed.
Hope the trend continues for tomorrow as well.
Thanks for reading and the comments.
ReplyBaijal June 27, 2018 at 12:53 pm
You are a smart trader. I can see from your action . First time a trader who does not ranawat from loss. Huge learning experience for those who want to learn. A big thanks for sharing.
Replyadmin June 27, 2018 at 3:37 pm
Running away does not get us anything. As long as the price is near the strike, there is no point in getting out.
RELCAPITAL PUT 400 went up to Rs. 13 from 1.35 in the same session.
If we had got out at Rs. 1.35 then blaming the Option Trades is just an excuse.
Equally great move in Hindpetro.
Thanks for reading and the comments.
ReplyDev June 27, 2018 at 2:08 pm
Ye to teeno sixer maar diye sir last over me 🙂
Replyadmin June 27, 2018 at 3:34 pm
Well, we have to be right some day. And what is better than to be right on the penultimate day or last over in cricket parlance.
ReplyI had expected some move but not such a big move.
Thanks for reading and the comments.
kuldeep Tyagi June 27, 2018 at 4:29 pm
Sir ..it looks like you commanded the three puts (expiry day) to go up and they ran upwards scared …right from from go.Magic.
Replyadmin June 27, 2018 at 8:20 pm
Dear Kuldeep,
Thanks for reading and the comments.
I am trying to command the market for so many days. It did not bother.
Today it conceded to our requests and pleadings and we look very nice. No one can command the market, that is the fundamental principle.
Thanks again.
ReplyAshwani June 27, 2018 at 4:36 pm
Sir, How did you arrived at these stocks?
Replyadmin June 27, 2018 at 8:18 pm
Thanks Ashwani for the comments.
Any of us could have worked out. It is a matter of keeping a watch on the price movement and some conviction.
And a lot of luck at the right time.
These stocks could have stayed flat today and declined 6-8% on Friday and we would not be exchanging these comments.
It is all reward for the market for work done by us.
ReplyJayesh June 27, 2018 at 5:19 pm
Going through tough times, still able to find such great opportunities. It speaks a lot about your market experience. You are indeed very good at finding stock weaknesses.
Replyadmin June 27, 2018 at 8:15 pm
At times it was really tough.
I had thought of posting Expiry Day trades a day earlier but then saw that already too many trades were not doing well. Then decided to go ahead. another Rs. 9000 risked will not make much difference to an already lost cause. But if they work out right, it would be great.
Tough times and conditions make you make work harder and better.
And at last we got some well deserved luck too.
Thanks for reading and the comments.
ReplyT. Sai June 27, 2018 at 7:22 pm
Dear sir, you are the real master in option trading.
ReplyThanks for your selections.
admin June 27, 2018 at 8:12 pm
Thanks Sai for your comments.
I have always stated that our job is to make a selection and set up a trade. After that it is for the market to do whatever is right. Today market did the right thing for us.
ReplyNilesh June 27, 2018 at 7:59 pm
This strategy demonstrates your great skill, experience and patience. Thanks for sharing this, a great learning lesson for us.
Replyadmin June 27, 2018 at 8:10 pm
Dear Nilesh,
Thanks for the compliments. I believe sometime you just get lucky. Today was one such day.
But to get lucky you have to be in the trade and the trades have to be thought out in the same manner.
The markets do it for us. We are just nobody.
ReplyDevendra June 27, 2018 at 10:35 pm
Incredible!
Replyadmin June 28, 2018 at 7:58 am
Thanks for the comment. Like I have stated in reply to other comments that the market decided to give us some profits today.
ReplyDevendra June 27, 2018 at 11:29 pm
We are just nobody…. Universal truth
Reply